Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.043179 0.050502 0.058562 0.068075 0.078977 0.091061 0.105453
2025-03-09 0.032074 0.041592 0.053060 0.067821 0.086239 0.108375 0.136901
2025-03-16 0.023731 0.033790 0.046931 0.065194 0.089728 0.121329 0.164860
2025-03-23 0.019775 0.030563 0.045684 0.068127 0.100221 0.144021 0.207770
2025-03-30 0.016149 0.026935 0.043067 0.068487 0.106942 0.162196 0.246610
2025-04-06 0.012954 0.023225 0.039555 0.066762 0.110107 0.175378 0.279562
2025-04-13 0.010609 0.020353 0.036752 0.065511 0.113543 0.189000 0.314266
2025-04-20 0.009524 0.019391 0.036837 0.068820 0.124436 0.215002 0.370409
2025-04-27 0.008502 0.018322 0.036522 0.071309 0.134131 0.239904 0.427036
2025-05-04 0.007097 0.016228 0.033996 0.069448 0.135981 0.251852 0.463248
2025-05-11 0.006084 0.014714 0.032291 0.068794 0.139782 0.267305 0.506583
2025-05-18 0.005089 0.013027 0.029959 0.066553 0.140275 0.276822 0.540183
2025-05-25 0.004296 0.011646 0.028065 0.064994 0.142036 0.289087 0.580448
2025-06-01 0.003798 0.010857 0.027312 0.065689 0.148321 0.310368 0.639273
2025-06-08 0.003187 0.009647 0.025405 0.063606 0.148655 0.320250 0.677428
2025-06-15 0.002977 0.009443 0.025808 0.066726 0.160288 0.353368 0.763355
2025-06-22 0.002647 0.008830 0.025115 0.067210 0.166241 0.375558 0.829486
2025-06-29 0.002261 0.007964 0.023630 0.065580 0.167263 0.387638 0.876151
2025-07-06 0.001951 0.007246 0.022401 0.064382 0.169100 0.401536 0.927631
2025-07-13 0.001852 0.007173 0.022905 0.067657 0.181810 0.439929 1.033649
2025-07-20 0.001731 0.006996 0.023089 0.070118 0.192815 0.475475 1.136232
2025-07-27 0.001486 0.006333 0.021748 0.068290 0.193043 0.486908 1.187193
2025-08-03 0.001309 0.005860 0.020887 0.067648 0.196168 0.505176 1.254653